Autoři: Edited by M.B. Beck, Professor and Eminent Scholar, Environmental Informatics and Control Program, University of Georgia, Warnell School of Forest Resources, D.W. Brooks Drive, Athens, GA 30602-2152, USA
Vydáno: 2002
Policy-makers and the public, it has famously been said, are more interested in the possibility of non-linear dislocations and surprises in the behaviour of the environment than in smooth extrapolations of current trends. The International Task Force in Forecasting Environmental Change (1993-1998) dedicated its work to developing procedures of model building capable of addressing our palpable concerns for substantial change in the future. This volume discusses the immense challenges that such structural change presents - that the behaviour of the environment may become radically different from that observed in the past - and investigates the potentially profound implications for model development.
